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European stocks are on course for a lower open Thursday, continuing a negative trend this week as global markets come under pressure from rising bond yields. Equity market gloom has been mirrored globally, as expectations that interest rates will be higher for longer have driven up bond yields — generally a harmful move for stocks. First to release will be the euro zone, amid uncertainty over how how many times the European Central Bank will cut interest rates this year beyond its expected first cut at its June meeting next week. That will be followed by the U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index report, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. The minutes from the Fed's most recent meeting and recent comments from policymakers have seen money markets fully price in just one rate cut from the world's biggest central bank this year.
Organizations: Equity, European Central Bank, U.S, Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific
About 45% of changes to S&P 500 analysts' earnings estimates are upgrades, as shown in the chart below, down from 50% in early 2023. AdvertisementSociete GeneraleHistorically, analyst optimism has been a good indicator for the economy's direction. Below is the S&P 500's year-over-year percentage change along with the analyst optimism measure. He says the S&P 500 is in a bubble fueled by AI optimism and could fall as much as around 60%. He sees potential downside of 39% for the S&P 500.
Persons: , Albert Edwards, Edwards, Powell's, Ed Yardeni, Let's, There's, Jeremy Grantham, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Business, Street, Nasdaq, Generale, Conference, Institute for Supply, subsiding, Fed, repo, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bears, Rosenberg Research, policymaking
Responders continue answering affirmatively at a higher-than-average rate, a top potato supplier indicated. It underscores the resilience of consumer spending, even as inflation pinches pocketbooks and pandemic savings dry up. A larger share of customers keep adding the iconic side to meal orders than in the past, according to frozen potato supplier Lamb Weston . Looking at the bigger picture, strength in the so-called fry attachment rate bolsters economic data, showing the willingness of average Americans to still shell out for everyday luxuries. "The fry attachment rate has stayed pretty consistent," said CEO Thomas Werner during the company's earnings call on Thursday.
Persons: Lamb Weston, Thomas Werner, It's Locations: America, U.S
The rate of "gray divorce" — a term that describes divorce at age 50 and older — doubled from 1990 to 2019, according to a 2022 study published in The Journals of Gerontology. The 'chronic economic strain' of gray divorceIn heterosexual relationships, gray divorce typically "has more negative implications for women than for men," said Kamila Elliott, a certified financial planner and co-founder of Collective Wealth Partners, based in Atlanta. Altogether, women's standard of living declined by 45% following a gray divorce, while the drop for men was less severe, at 21%, Brown and Lin wrote. These negative economic outcomes persisted over time, "indicating that gray divorce operates as a chronic economic strain," they said. For example, let's say a husband is eligible for a larger Social Security benefit relative to his female spouse.
Persons: Susan Brown, Lin, Kamila Elliott, Laura Tach, Alicia Eads, Natalie Colley, Brown, Elliott, Women shouldn't, Colley, I've Organizations: Gerontology, Bowling Green State University, Collective Wealth Partners, Cornell University, University of Toronto, Francis Financial, Social Security, Women, Collective Wealth Locations: Atlanta, New York
Gross domestic product in India surged 8.4% in the final three months of 2023 compared with a year prior, up from growth of 7.6% in the June-to-September period, the country’s statistics office said Thursday. The latest rise is much stronger than analysts expected and means India’s economy “ended last year with a bang,” Thamashi De Silva, assistant India economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a note. “That pace of growth was the strongest among major economies last quarter,” she said, also noting that in 2023 as a whole GDP grew 7.7%. Analysts at Jefferies expect the country to become the world’s third-largest economy by 2027, up from fifth currently. But “any slowdown in growth will be mild, particularly as the government’s infrastructure drive is likely to prop up activity,” she added.
Persons: , Thamashi De Silva, , Narendra Modi, Elon Musk, India “, Modi, ” Musk, De Silva Organizations: London CNN, Gross, Capital Economics, Monetary Fund, Jefferies, Apple Locations: India, China, Washington, Beijing
They expose decades of American corporate philosophy gone awry. A good American company isn’t just a vehicle for financial returns; it is first and foremost an employer, a contributor to economic and/or technological innovation, and a source of US power. But it’s clear that what Boeing — and the entire American corporate body politic — needs is nothing short of a philosophical counterrevolution. Over these three decades of plenty for Boeing’s shareholders, the company’s staff was asked to penny-pinch. Boeing’s stock cratered, and France’s Airbus , a rival once colloquially known as “Scare Bus,” started to eat the American company’s lunch .
Persons: it’s, could’ve, William Lazonick, , It’s, won’t, William McGee, T.A, Wilson, Frank Shrontz, Max, Peter Robison, , , Dave Calhoun, we’ve, Scott Kirby, hasn’t, “ We’re, Lazonick, wasn’t, Milton Friedman, Michael Jensen, Jensen, nary, Jack Welch, Welch, Wall, ” Lazonick, We’ve, Mary Barra, ” McGee Organizations: Alaska Airlines, Boeing, Investments, University of Massachusetts, , NASA, Airbus, Alaska Airlines Max, Wall, United Airlines, Federal Aviation Administration, CNBC, Washington, University of Chicago, Electric, Wall Street, GE, Dow Jones, Securities and Exchange Commission, Reality Labs, Deutsche Bank, Business, General Motors, United Auto Workers, Companies, GM, & $ Locations: Washington, America
I want to deploy an options strategy to use this emotional overreaction as an opportunity to add to my Tesla position. However, when coupled with the second consecutive quarter that Tesla missed earning expectations, nearly $100 billion in market cap rapidly evaporated. The trade The option strategy that I will utilize is a credit spread, better known as a risk reversal. This credit spread can be established by selling an at-the-money put and using the premium collected in writing that put option to buy an upside out-of-the-money call. DISCLOSURES: (Long Tesla, sold risk reversal) THE ABOVE CONTENT IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY .
Persons: Tesla, Elon, Musk, overreacted Organizations: Elon Locations: Tesla
The end of workplace loyalty
  + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Aki Ito | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +16 min
Do that, and you generate the kind of trust and loyalty that leads to high productivity and low turnover. A world in which the psychological contract is profoundly broken. In the three decades following World War II, as Rick Wartzman documents in his book " The End of Loyalty ," a booming economy made American companies rich. Today, disillusioned workers might assume that the norm of workplace loyalty was nothing but a capitalistic ruse, a way for companies to exploit their employees. But the new loyalty would recognize that employees have to uphold their end of the bargain.
Persons: I've, Gen Xers, Gen Zers, they'll, Rick Wartzman, Wartzman, Denise Rousseau, Rousseau, who's, Mark, , it's, I'm, he's, quitters, Nick Bloom, Stanford University who's, Anthony Klotz, Klotz, they're, It's, Aki Ito Organizations: Companies, Kodak, GE, Carnegie Mellon University, Stanford University, University College London, Employers, Business
Gould is more bullish than many on Wall Street, as the average price target of analysts polled by LSEG is $484.42. Analyst Harold Antor downgraded the stock to hold from buy and slashed his price target by $4 to $8. Analyst Jeffrey Stantial upgrade the sports betting stock to buy from hold and raised his price target by $5 to $45. Stantial's new price target implies shares can jump 19.9% over the next year from Thursday's close. UBS raised its rating on Texas Instruments to buy and increased its price target to $195 from $170.
Persons: Chipmakers, Wells, Bernstein, PDD, Robin Zhu, Zhu, Temu, there's, Shein, — Alex Harring, Alan Gould, Gould, Jefferies, Hertz, Harold Antor, Antor, There's, Saul Martinez, Martinez, Alex Harring, Stifel, Jeffrey Stantial, Stantial, Wells Fargo, Aaron Rakers, Mark Zuckerberg, Zuckerberg, TXN, Timothy Arcuri, FCF –, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, UBS, Texas, Nvidia, Meta, PDD Holdings, Netflix, HBO, LSEG, Hertz, EV, Jefferies, HSBC, Discover, Facebook, Big Tech, Texas Instruments Locations: China, Thursday's
More than half, 51%, of all workers and 63% of Gen Z workers say they have a best friend at their job, according to a recent Glassdoor survey. Those polled reported some pretty crucial mental health benefits for having an office bestie: support and enjoyment in the workplace were among the top two pros, followed by stress relief. When forging relationships in the office, you need to remember that the stakes are different, says Glassdoor chief economist Aaron Terrazas. "Workplace friendships will never be the same as friendships outside the workplace, and it's important to keep in mind that you may need to continue working with work friends even after a friendship sours," he says. Here are two potential drawbacks to having a best friend at work, and how to manage each situation.
Persons: Aaron Terrazas
DIVE IN Language programs abroad go beyond apps or even conventional classes by combining instruction with immersive experiences where the language is spoken. IN LIMA and I am in bed, half awake, mentally conjugating verbs in Spanish. Grammar hasn’t had such an insidious hold on my consciousness since high school, when my failure to learn French convinced me I was facing a monolingual future. And so I signed up for a week of classes at Peruwayna, a language school located in the bustling Miraflores district of Peru’s capital. The curriculum’s rigor attracted me—each day of the roughly $223-per-week “super-intensive” program would start with four hours of small group classes.
Persons: Dan Page, hasn’t, I’d Organizations: IN, Spanish Locations: IN LIMA, Miami, Spain, Latin America, Miraflores, Peru’s
Until recently, 2023 looked to be a major year for Chinese outreach in the Middle East. Until this month, 2023 looked to be a landmark year for China's outreach to the Middle East. Zhai, China's Middle East envoy, began a tour of the region last week, stopping in Qatar first on October 19. "It's the kind of role we've played for the last half-century in the Middle East. Paul Iddon is a freelance journalist and columnist who writes about Middle East developments, military affairs, politics, and history.
Persons: , Xi Jinping, Bashar Assad, Benjamin Netanyahu, Kim Kyung, Yoav Gallant, Ariel Hermoni, Zhai Jun, Wang Yi, Chuck Schumer, Xi, Nicholas Burns, Burns, Michael Singh, Abraham, Singh, Mahmud Abbas, Jade Gao, Alexus Grynkewich, Grynkewich, Abu Dhabi, ATTA KENARE, it's, Zhai, we've, Paul Iddon Organizations: Service, Initiative, Israeli, REUTERS, Saudi, UAE, Israeli Defense Ministry, Getty Images, Washington, The Washington Institute, White House, Israel, US Air Forces, Defense Writers, Huawei, Getty Locations: East, Beijing, Israel, China, Iran, Syria, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Gaza, Anadolu, Getty Images Beijing, Saudi, Egypt, UAE, Jordan, Iraq, Abu, AFP, Qatar, Palestine
Trump, a former Republican president who is the frontrunner to become the party's 2024 presidential nominee, called the Lebanese Hezbollah, a sworn enemy of Israel, "very smart" and accused Netanyahu of being "not prepared" for the Hamas attack, which also killed 22 Americans. White House deputy press secretary Andrew Bates called Trump's comments "dangerous and unhinged." Democratic President Joe Biden has condemned the Hamas attack as "an act of sheer evil" and declared his unwavering support for Israel. Trump was annoyed when Netanyahu called to congratulate Biden on winning the 2020 presidential election against Trump, an election Trump still calls fraudulent. Trump said Israel relayed to the United States on the night before the operation that it had decided not to participate.
Persons: Donald Trump, Marco Bello, Benjamin Netanyahu, Trump, Netanyahu, Shlomo Karhi, Karhi, Andrew Bates, Bates, Joe Biden, Ron DeSantis, Trump's, Mike Pence, Asa Hutchinson, TRUMP, NETANYAHU, SOURS Trump, Biden, Israel, Qassem Soleimani, Bibi Netanyahu, Tim Reid, Nathan Layne, Doina Chiacu, Susan Heavey, Jeff Mason, Ross Colvin, Howard Goller Organizations: REUTERS, White, Israeli, Republican, Lebanese Hezbollah, Israel's, Democratic, Israel, Trump, Thomson Locations: West Palm Beach , Florida, U.S, Israel, Iran, Palestinian, Lebanese, Florida, New Hampshire, America, Arkansas, United States, Iraq, Gaza
Experts predict oil prices will continue to rise heading into the fourth quarter, driven by tighter supply and production cuts. Despite some profit-taking in the last week of September, crude oil prices have rallied since the summer. That means U.S. crude oil reserves will remain under pressure amid the Saudi production cuts. And questions still remain as to the strength of a resurgence from the Chinese economy and how that will support higher oil prices. Goldman also recently published its list of buy-rated stocks to play higher oil prices, which included Chevron and Baker Hughes .
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Brent, Viktor Katona, Katona, Stephen Ellis, Ellis, Ole Hansen, " Hansen, Brian Mulberry, Mulberry, Goldman, Baker Hughes, Neil Mehta, Mehta Organizations: Brent, West, West Texas, Bank of America, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Morningstar, Saxos Bank, Zacks Investment Management, Federal Reserve, ConocoPhillips, XOM Locations: West Texas, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, Russia, OPEC, U.S, Cushing , Oklahoma, East, Kuwait, Iraq, Ukraine, Iran
With the market on edge ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates, here's a way to play it safe. In anticipation of the Fed's decision, stocks are losing their momentum this week while oil prices surge and consumer sentiment sours. These stocks have a dividend yield of greater than 3% and are still in the green this year, making them a strong hedge against potential near-term volatility. Oil and natural gas producer Coterra Energy has the highest dividend yield of the list and has popped 12% so far this year. The company also offers a dividend yield of 3.83%.
Organizations: Federal, CNBC Pro, Coterra Energy, Digital Realty Trust, Essex Property Trust, Business Machines, Hasbro Locations: Central, Essex, U.S
The gloom across the business sector underlines the challenge for Japanese policymakers and raises doubts that exports could fuel an economic recovery in the face of weak domestic demand. The Reuters Tankan monthly poll of 502 big manufacturers, showed a sharp fall in the sector's sentiment index to plus 4, from plus 12 in August. Compared with three month ago, the manufacturers' sentiment index -- calculated by subtracting the percentage of pessimistic respondents from optimistic ones -- was down four points and suggests decline in the quarterly tankan survey. The Reuters Tankan non-manufacturers index also dropped nine points to hit plus 23 in September from the previous month, the biggest decline since May 2020, the survey showed. The business sentiment over the coming three months showed the manufacturers' index flat in December and the service-sector index slightly down at plus 21 at year-end.
Persons: Tetsushi, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Reuters, Bank of, Overseas, Thomson Locations: China, TOKYO, Bank of Japan's, Ukraine, U.S
The gloom across the business sector underlines the challenge for Japanese policymakers and raises doubts that exports could fuel an economic recovery in the face of weak domestic demand. The Reuters Tankan monthly poll of 502 big manufacturers, showed a sharp fall in the sector's sentiment index to plus 4, from plus 12 in August. Compared with three month ago, the manufacturers' sentiment index -- calculated by subtracting the percentage of pessimistic respondents from optimistic ones -- was down four points and suggests decline in the quarterly tankan survey. The Reuters Tankan non-manufacturers index also dropped nine points to hit plus 23 in September from the previous month, the biggest decline since May 2020, the survey showed. The business sentiment over the coming three months showed the manufacturers' index flat in December and the service-sector index slightly down at plus 21 at year-end.
Persons: Tetsushi, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Reuters, Bank of, Overseas, Thomson Locations: China, TOKYO, Bank of Japan's, Ukraine, U.S
Oil slips as China sours sentiment
  + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Natalie Grover | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A VLCC oil tanker is seen at a crude oil terminal in Ningbo Zhoushan port, Zhejiang province, China May 16, 2017. In a surprise move, China's central bank marginally cut key interest rates on Tuesday, after a broad array of data highlighted intensifying pressure on the economy, mainly from the property sector. There are concerns China may struggle to meet its growth target of about 5% for the year without more fiscal stimulus. On Tuesday, Barclays cut its forecast for China's 2023 gross domestic product growth to 4.5%, citing a faster-than-expected deterioration in the housing market. Still, sentiment on China is souring, added PVM's Evans.
Persons: Stringer, galvanise, John Evans, refiners, PVM's Evans, Natalie Grover, Muyu Xu, Katya Golubkova, Tom Hogue, Jason Neely, Tomasz Janowski Organizations: REUTERS, Garden Holdings, Brent, . West Texas, of, Petroleum, Tuesday, Barclays, Thomson Locations: Ningbo Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC
Oil steadies as China data sours sentiment
  + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( Natalie Grover | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
A VLCC oil tanker is seen at a crude oil terminal in Ningbo Zhoushan port, Zhejiang province, China May 16, 2017. REUTERS/Stringer /File PhotoCompanies Country Garden Holdings Co Ltd FollowLONDON, Aug 15 (Reuters) - Oil prices stabilised on Tuesday as sluggish Chinese economic figures were countered by Beijing unexpectedly cutting key policy rates for the second time in three months. China's industrial output and retail sales data on Tuesday showed the economy slowed further last month, intensifying pressure on already faltering growth and prompting authorities to cut key policy rates to shore up activity. In an effort to shore up support, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) lowered the rate on 401 billion yuan ($55.3 billion) in one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) loans to some financial institutions by 15 basis points to 2.5%. Still, sentiment on China is souring, added PVM's Evans.
Persons: Stringer, galvanise, John Evans, Robert Carnell, refiners, PVM's Evans, Natalie Grover, Muyu Xu, Katya Golubkova, Tom Hogue, Jason Neely Organizations: REUTERS, Garden Holdings, Brent, . West Texas, of, Petroleum, People's Bank of China, ING Bank, Thomson Locations: Ningbo Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China, Beijing, Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Asia Pacific
InsiderAt The Plant in Chicago, small businesses are tinkering with sustainable food production. It was designed to make food," Edel said. The Plant's white whale is turning food waste into cashThe Plant's large backyard features a greenhouse, left, farms, and an anaerobic digester, right. The innovators believe they can pull antioxidants or vanilla, for example, from the digesting food waste and sell it. "Take the waste from vertical farming or food waste, put it in an anaerobic digester, generate energy — gas, or turn that into electricity.
Persons: Morgan McFall, Johnsen Chicago, Justine, Johnsen, John Edel, Johnsen Edel, Edel, Margot Briane, gestured, Adam Pollack, Shawn Smith, Leonor Quezada, Heffer BBQ, Smith, Quezada, We're, Heffer, Johnsen Jana Kinsman, Edel hasn't, that's, Johnsen Leonard Lerer, Leonard Lerer, Lerer, There's Organizations: Green Tech, Service, CHICAGO, Workers, Whiner, US Department of Agriculture, Sciences Locations: Chicago, Texas, The, Morgan
US bank stocks drop as Moody's downgrade sours sentiment
  + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. REUTERS/Mike Segar/File PhotoAug 8 (Reuters) - Shares of U.S. banks fell in premarket trading on Tuesday after ratings agency Moody's downgraded 10 mid-sized lenders, reigniting investor concerns about the challenges facing the industry. Moody's also warned it may cut ratings of some of the biggest U.S. lenders, and placed six of them under review for a potential downgrade. "It is significant for U.S. growth too, as U.S. regional banks are the financing lifeblood for small and mid-size enterprises." Shares of Bank of America (BAC.N), Citigroup (C.N) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N) fell more than 1%.
Persons: Mike Segar, Moody's, Stuart Cole, JPMorgan Chase, Georgios Leontaris, Niket Nishant, Mayur, Shashwat Chauhan, Shounak Dasgupta, Saumyadeb Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Bank of New York Mellon, U.S . Bancorp, Truist, Equiti, Bank of America, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Bank, EMEA, HSBC Global Private Banking, Wealth, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Silicon, Switzerland, Bengaluru
The State of Pizza in the Pizza State
  + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Nikita Richardson | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
And a New New Haven SliceIf Chrissy’s is repping the New York pie, then Lala’s in East Williamsburg, Brooklyn, is the Connecticut delegate. This city isn’t exactly head over heels for rival pizza styles, so it’s particularly brave of Grimm Artisanal Ales to give over its entire rooftop to apizza (the New Haven term for its local style). I’ve been a fan of Grimm for a long time — it was going hard on light-bodied sours during the New England I.P.A. Go for the tomato pie, a cracker-thin pizza with shaved garlic, or the cozy pie with chunks of potato. You want New York pizza?
Persons: I’ve, Grimm, it’s, Rocco Pizza, Rocco Locations: York, East Williamsburg , Brooklyn, Connecticut, England, New York, Brooklyn
The London Stock Exchange Group offices are seen in the City of London, Britain, December 29, 2017. REUTERS/Toby Melville/File PhotoSummaryCompanies FTSE 100 down 0.8%, FTSE 250 off 0.6%Aug 2 (Reuters) - UK's FTSE 100 opened lower on Wednesday, as global risk sentiment took a hit after ratings agency Fitch cut the United States' credit rating, while BAE Systems shares jumped after the defence company raised its full-year guidance. By 0709 GMT, the bluechip FTSE 100 index (.FTSE) fell 0.8%, touching a two week low, while the more domestically-focussed FTSE 250 midcap index (.FTMC) lost 0.6%. BAE Systems (BAES.L) added 4.7% after Britain's biggest defence company upgraded its guidance for 2023, forecasting annual earnings per share would grow 10-12%. ConvaTec Group (CTEC.L) jumped 4.0% after the technology firm raised its full-year guidance.
Persons: Toby Melville, Fitch, Shashwat Chauhan, Rashmi Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, City of, REUTERS, BAE Systems, AAA, Smurfit Kappa, ConvaTec, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, United States, London, Bengaluru
Aston Martin flips from cash-guzzler to carmaker
  + stars: | 2023-08-01 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
LONDON, Aug 1 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Aston Martin Lagonda (AML.L) is making a painful transition from cash-guzzler to viable carmaker. A 216 million pound cash call on Monday brings its total capital raised since 2018 to just under 1.8 billion pounds. By this year, Aston Martin will have grown revenue by 13% per annum since 2019, according to Refinitiv data, thanks to new models like the DB12 and higher prices. Aston’s current enterprise value is just under 2 times forecast 2024 sales, a discount to Porsche, and far below Ferrari’s (RACE.MI) more than 8 times multiple. Yet Aston still needs to show it can make an electric vehicle, with the first due in 2025.
Persons: Aston Martin Lagonda, James Bond, Lawrence Stroll’s, Aston Martin, Aston, Neil Unmack, Steve Cohen, Liam Proud, Oliver Taslic Organizations: Reuters, Public Investment Fund, Porsche AG, Porsche, Twitter, Sequoia, Thomson Locations: Japan, India
Cramer sours on Johnson & Johnson as lawsuits pile up
  + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Monday explained his decision to cut Johnson & Johnson from the Investing Club Charitable Trust. The company has faced thousands of lawsuits in recent years, many alleging that its talc baby powder and other talc-based products cause cancer. "I simply can't have a position that's precarious because of litigation, not because of the fundamentals," Cramer said. Cramer said he originally thought J&J would be able to reach a settlement with plaintiffs, and was optimistic about the company's performance aside from its lawsuits. Johnson & Johnson did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Johnson, Cramer, he's, that's, Hope Organizations: Charitable Trust, J
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